Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.354734 2.571630 2.803967 3.072092 3.373892 3.704135 4.094251
2025-11-09 1.983686 2.268243 2.591679 2.989136 3.467976 4.030813 4.749200
2025-11-16 1.762714 2.082414 2.461611 2.949635 3.568511 4.337400 5.381326
2025-11-23 1.612231 1.954494 2.374510 2.935789 3.678480 4.645562 6.030955
2025-11-30 1.531357 1.899729 2.365829 3.010445 3.897747 5.105598 6.928078
2025-12-07 1.429327 1.806455 2.295648 2.991608 3.981716 5.381372 7.590542
2025-12-14 1.337081 1.717315 2.221332 2.956465 4.033535 5.609052 8.201190
2025-12-21 1.232734 1.603838 2.104392 2.849386 3.967583 5.650380 8.517806
2025-12-28 1.178756 1.555165 2.072579 2.859942 4.073798 5.959713 9.304269
2026-01-04 1.137319 1.520732 2.057482 2.892098 4.213137 6.331801 10.244376
2026-01-11 1.101420 1.491479 2.047070 2.929018 4.360978 6.730073 11.285137
2026-01-18 1.067012 1.461985 2.033747 2.959203 4.498650 7.123009 12.372058
2026-01-25 1.029347 1.426510 2.010538 2.974022 4.615550 7.498996 13.502385
2026-02-01 0.972243 1.359079 1.934776 2.898523 4.571247 7.579249 14.045042
2026-02-08 0.928951 1.310207 1.884680 2.861155 4.589302 7.775220 14.862304
2026-02-15 0.894569 1.273129 1.850743 2.847929 4.648372 8.054287 15.909041
2026-02-22 0.881234 1.267754 1.866483 2.919745 4.868461 8.674239 17.858110
2026-03-01 0.849958 1.232615 1.832072 2.901632 4.917485 8.951750 19.037007
2026-03-08 0.817665 1.194360 1.790495 2.867833 4.932926 9.159732 20.080515
2026-03-15 0.773958 1.136041 1.713004 2.764821 4.804438 9.044361 20.253941
2026-03-22 0.754422 1.115952 1.698361 2.774978 4.901803 9.435434 21.881986
2026-03-29 0.739800 1.103170 1.695265 2.805916 5.043562 9.943387 23.958398
2026-04-05 0.726730 1.092313 1.694774 2.841433 5.197616 10.499435 26.318703